After breaking thru we have fallen below

April 10th, 2017

Commentary at the close: As you can see on the chart above that we are no longer bumping up against the ceiling of resistance.  After breaking thru on Friday we have broken back below.  Time will tell what happens in the future.  Let me know if you have any questions or if we can help in any way.

 

What Is Going On With Interest Rates?  #wigowir

Below is the news when it happened and the market’s reaction.  For a full view of the day start at the bottom and work your way up. If want to know what just happened start at the top. All Times are Eastern Standard Time.  When the price of Mortgage Backed Securities (MBS) goes down rates go up, and when the price goes up rates come down. Remember in the bond market Bad News is Good News and Good News is Bad news.

Close  3.5% Fannie Mae 30-yr coupon up 3  bp at a price of 102.47 up 0 bp when rates were set today at 10:00 am Open 102.38 High 102.53 Low 102.47

8:19 AM This week could be a bit less volatile given just 3 1/2 trading days and many players off for the week.
8:17 AM Earnings season ramps up this week with key numbers from Citigroup and JPMorgan Chase later in the week.
8:16 AM The Treasury will sell $24B 3-yr Notes on today, $20B 10-yr Notes tomorrow and $12B 30-yr Bonds on Wednesday.
8:13 AM MBS open near unchanged in the holiday shortened week. The Bond markets will close early on Thursday and both Stocks and Bonds will be closed on Friday in observance of Good Friday.
8:06 AM U.S. dollar index 101.14, near unchanged.
8:06 AM There are no economic reports due for release today and the week's calendar will see CPI, PPI and Retail Sales.
8:05 AM WTI oil at $52.83, +$0.58.
8:04 AM 10-yr T Note yield 2.38% after hitting 2.26% soon after the Jobs Report on Friday.
8:02 AM MBS look to open flat to slightly lower after last week's ramped up volatility. S&P futures show a near unchanged opening.
7:52 AM Correction: the Monthly Bond Rollover will take place after the close of trading this evening. It did not take place on Friday evening.

Johnmarbury.com has attempted to verify the information contained on this post.  However any aspect of such may change without notice.  Johnmarbury.com does not provide investment advice and does not represent that any of the information or related analysis is accurate or complete at any time. On October 5th we started posting our rates and leaving them on the site for you to refer back to. This will allow  you see where actual rates have been along with the news that caused the fluctuations on the rate sheet.  I ask that you forgive my spelling and grammatical mistakes. This is due writing skills that are lacking and the need to communicate quickly.  Most of the information posted on this blog along with the charts and indexes are available all during the day to the subscrbers of www.themortgagemarketguide.com  The cost of subscription is very reasonable.

 

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