Can we close above the 50 day moving avg? Check at 6pm

February 17th, 2017

Answer to the question in the subject line: Yes! We closed above the first level of resistance (R1) at the 50-day Moving Average (102.13).  We are hopefully R1 will become S1 next, and make it a buy signal rather than a sell signal. 

At the close of trading:

3.5% Fannie Mae 30-yr coupon up 16 bp at a price of 102.28 down 3 bp when rates were set today at 10:00 am Open 102.28 High 102.38 Low 102.25 See Chart Below

Commentary at the close: MBS edged higher in today's quiet trading session as the Stock rally pauses or may be topping out here in the short term There were no economic reports released today. The Fannie Mae 30-yr 3.5% coupon closed at 102.25, +12bp. Stocks hugged the flat line at the close. The Dow closed at 20,624.05, the S&P 500 closed at 2,351.16, while the Nasdaq was up 23.67 points to end at 5,838.57. WTI oil closed near unchanged at $53.40/barrel. 10-yr T Note yield 2.42%. Next week's economic calendar is on the light side. The U.S. markets are closed on Monday in observance of Presidents Day. We will not be open, but we will be available on the phone at 205-266-5669.  Let us know if you have any questions or if we can help in any way

What Is Going On With Interest Rates?  #wigowir

Below is the news when it happened and the market’s reaction.  For a full view of the day start at the bottom and work your way up. If want to know what just happened start at the top. All Times are Eastern Standard Time.  When the price of Mortgage Backed Securities (MBS) goes down rates go up, and when the price goes up rates come down. Remember in the bond market Bad News is Good News and Good News is Bad news.



4:13 PM Stocks squeak out minor gains headed into the long weekend.

1:20 PM Just past midday, MBS holding modest gains and off the session highs. Stocks lower. 10-yr T Note yield edges higher to 2.42%.

12:33  PM 3.5% Fannie Mae 30-yr coupon up 16 bp at a price of 102.28 down 3 bp when rates were set today at 10:00 am Open 101.28 High 102.34 Low 102.25 See chart below. On it you will see that we have traded all day above R1 which is 50 day moving average. Closing above this number may change the 50 day moving average from a selling signal to a buying signal.


10:31 AM MBS off session highs.

9:51 AM Stocks trading lower soon after the open, but the looses are modest, for now.


8:47 AM 10-yr T Note yield 2.40% from yesterday's close of 2.45%.

8:38 AM All U.S. capital markets will be closed on Monday in observance of Presidents Day.

8:30 AM The Fannie Mae 30-yr 3.5% coupon opens above resistance one (R1) at the 50-day Moving Average (102.13).

8:29 AM There are no economic reports due for release today.

8:23 AM WTI oil at $53.13/barrel, -$0.23.

8:22 AM U.S. dollar index 100.61, +0.18.

8:21 AM Stock investors are pausing and taking some chips off the table after the Dow, S&P and Nasdaq hit record highs.

8:19 AM Mortgage Bond and Treasury prices are trading higher following through on their Thursday rally as S&P futures are pointing towards a lower open. has attempted to verify the information contained on this post.  However any aspect of such may change without notice. does not provide investment advice and does not represent that any of the information or related analysis is accurate or complete at any time. On October 5th we started posting our rates and leaving them on the site for you to refer back to. This will allow  you see where actual rates have been along with the news that caused the fluctuations on the rate sheet.  I ask that you forgive my spelling and grammatical mistakes. This is due writing skills that are lacking and the need to communicate quickly.  Most of the information posted on this blog along with the charts and indexes are available all during the day to the subscrbers of  The cost of subscription is very reasonable.



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