September 11th, 2017
Rates Effective September 11, 2017 10:30 AM EST
*30-Year Fixed Rate 3.875% (3.961%APR)
**15-Year Fixed Rate 3.125% (3.271% APR)
Conforming loans $424,100 and under
No origination on all posted rates. Call for other rates. ***Rate Assumptions below the news
Suggestions that can change during the day: Mortgage Bond prices are lower to begin the week as Stock prices surge on easing North Korean and Hurricane Irma tensions. Locking is recommended.
After close Commentary: With fears easing surrounding North Korea and Irma, Stocks rallied to begin the week as the closely watched S&P 500 closed at a record high. The rally in the Dow, S&P and NASDAQ occurred as the fears from North Korea and Irma faded as investors bought with both hands. The Bond closed at 103.56, -25bp. There were no economic reports released today. Today's 3-yr Note auction was decent at best. The S&P 500 closed at a record high of 2,488.11, +26.68 points. The Dow gained 259.58 to 22,057.37, while the tech heavy NASDAQ closed at 6,432.26. WTI oil closed at $48.07/barrel, +$0.59. The yield on the 10-yr T Note closed at 2.13% after hitting a low of 2.01% early Thursday morning. There are no economic reports due for release tomorrow. The Treasury will sell $20B 10-yr Notes tomorrow.
Late morning Commentary: Mortgage originations surged in the second quarter of 2017 despite a decline in refinancing. Black Knight Financial Services reports that first lien mortgages rose 20% from the first quarter and are up 16% from a year ago, totaling $467 billion in the second quarter. During the second quarter, refis declined 20%, or $37 billion, from the first quarter to 31% of the market share of originations, the lowest level in 16 years. The average purchase loan origination amount rose to an all-time high of $286,000 in the second quarter of 2017.
U.S. Stocks are in rally mode to begin the week as North Korea and Hurricane Irma fears ease. Over the weekend, North Korea was supposed to test a new missile, but instead threw a party marking its government's 69th anniversary. Hurricane Irma made landfall over the weekend in Florida, but the storm was not as catastrophic as first thought to be. Stocks had been under pressure for the past several weeks, but that cloud has now been lifted. The Dow Jones Industrial Average, the S&P 500 and NASDAQ are near all-time highs.
Last week, Fed Governor Lael Brainard said that the central bank should be cautious on raising interest rates as inflation is “well short” of the Fed’s target range of 2%. Inflation data has been running low for some time as the Fed’s favorite inflation gauge, the Core PCE, is at 1.4% year over year and has been edging lower for the past five months. If inflation continues to run low, home loan rates will remain low. This week inflation numbers will be seen from the wholesale level, the Producer Price Index, and the Consumer Price Index.
|Mon, Sep 11 9:32 AM Stocks surge at the open, Dow +166 points.|
|Mon, Sep 11 8:30 AM The Treasury will sell $24B 3-yr Notes today, results at 1:00 p.m. ET.|
|Mon, Sep 11 8:22 AM North Korea did not test a long-range missile over the weekend.|
|Mon, Sep 11 8:21 AM The Monthly Bond Rollover will take place after the close of trading this evening.|
|Mon, Sep 11 8:20 AM U.S. dollar index 91.57, +0.24.|
|Mon, Sep 11 8:20 AM WTI oil at $47.71/barrel, +$0.23.|
|Mon, Sep 11 8:18 AM 10-yr T Note yield 2.10% from Friday's close of 2.06%.|
|Mon, Sep 11 8:18 AM Hurricane Irma not as bad as expected though there is extensive damage throughout Florida.|
|Mon, Sep 11 8:17 AM There are no economic reports due for release today. The rest of the week features CPI, PPI and Retail Sales.|
|Mon, Sep 11 8:12 AM Let us take a moment today and reflect on those who lives were lost on September 11.|
|Mon, Sep 11 8:10 AM MBS open lower as S&P futures rise as Irma weakens and as North Korean tensions ease.|
Actual payments will vary based on your individual situation and current rates. The above rates are subject to change.
Johnmarbury.com has attempted to verify the information contained on this post. However any aspect of such may change without notice. Johnmarbury.com does not provide investment advice and does not represent that any of the information or related analysis is accurate or complete at any time. Forgive my spelling and grammatical mistakes due to writing skills that are lacking and the need to communicate quickly.