September 7th, 2017
Rates Effective September 7, 2017 10:30 AM EST
*30-Year Fixed Rate 3.750% (3.835%APR)
**15-Year Fixed Rate 3.125% (3.271% APR)
Conforming loans $424,100 and under
No origination on all posted rates. Call for other rates. ***Rate Assumptions below the news
Suggestions that can change during the day: Mortgage Bond prices seem to be stalling at the November highs. Locking is recommended.
After close Commentary: The safe haven trade was back in vogue today as Stocks closed near unchanged levels. The Fannie Mae 30-yr 3.5% coupon rose by 19bp to end the session at 103.88. The Dow fell modestly by 22.86 points to 21,784.78, the S&P closed near unchanged at 2,465.10, while the NASDAQ saw a 4.55 gain settling at 6,397.86. WTI oil closed at $49.09/barrel, near unchanged. 10-yr T Note yield 2.04%, the lowest close since November 8. There are no economic reports due for release tomorrow.
Late morning Commentary: The fallout from Hurricane Harvey was felt in the surge in Americans filing for first-time unemployment benefits in the latest week. With the destruction in southern Texas, Weekly Initial Jobless Claims rose by 62,000 to 298,000, the highest level in more than two years and the largest increase since November 2012. However, the underlying strong trend in the labor market remains intact.
A government shutdown was averted yesterday after President Trump and democratic leaders came to an agreement to fund the government for three more months. The agreement also calls for more than $7 billion in aid for Hurricane Harvey. A basic function of Congress is to fund the government every year with the next fiscal year beginning on October 1.
Mortgage rates continue to decline due in part to low inflation levels and tensions in North Korea which pushed investors into the safe haven of the Bond markets. Freddie Mac reports that the 30-year fixed mortgage rate fell to 3.78% this week, its fifth straight weekly decline. That rate does carry an average 0.5 point added on top. Last year this time the rate was 3.44%.
9:01 AM ET 3.5% Fannie Mae 30-yr coupon up 22 bp at a price of 103.91 up 12 bp when rates were set yesterday at 10:00 am et Open 103.75 High 103.94 Low 103.75
Dailey Moving averages we are currently above: 200 $102.58 100 $103.00 50 103.06 and 25 103.36 Others numbers psychological numbers New First level of Support 103.47, New Second Level of support $103.34
First level of resistance $103.69 low of 11/10/16 Second level of resistance $103.90 half of the trading range of 11/10/16. The Presidential election was 11/08/16. On that day the MBS closed at $104.91
|Thu, Sep 07 11:13 AM MBS at session highs gaining back yesterday's losses and then some.|
|Thu, Sep 07 10:29 AM The yield on the 10-yr T Note falls to 2.04%, the lowest since November 10.|
|Thu, Sep 07 10:12 AM Freddie Mac reports that the 30-yr fixed rate mortgage fell to 3.78% this week, the fifth straight weekly decline, with an average 0.5 point added on top.|
|Thu, Sep 07 10:01 AM The Dow, S&P and NASDAQ fall into negative territory.|
|Thu, Sep 07 9:33 AM Stocks open slightly higher. Dow +28 points.|
|Thu, Sep 07 8:45 AM The inflation reading unit labor costs decline to 0.2% from 0.6%, further signs of lower inflation.|
|Thu, Sep 07 8:41 AM The ECB leaves rates unchanged and no change to the asset purchase program. ECB Chief Draghi says stimulus still needed.|
|Thu, Sep 07 8:33 AM Q2 Productivity second read 1.5% from the first read of 0.9%.|
|Thu, Sep 07 8:30 AM Weekly Initial Jobless Claims spike 62K to 298K vs the 239K expected due in a big way to job losses in southern Texas after Harvey ripped through the area last week.|
|Thu, Sep 07 8:28 AM The Fed's Beige Book yesterday showed that the U.S. economy expanded at a modest to moderate pace in July through mid-August, but inflation levels remain low.|
|Thu, Sep 07 8:23 AM Prices at the pump continue to rise. The national average price for a regular gallon of gasoline is at $2.67, up from $2.44 a week ago and up from $2.34 a month ago.|
|Thu, Sep 07 8:21 AM The dollar index is at an 18-month low as December rate hike chances decline, which is keeping the greenback under pressure.|
|Thu, Sep 07 8:20 AM WTI oil $48.77/barrel, -$0.39.|
|Thu, Sep 07 8:15 AM U.S. dollar index 91.82, -0.43.|
|Thu, Sep 07 8:11 AM The yield on the 10-yr T Note at 2.08% from yesterday's close of 2.10%.|
|Thu, Sep 07 8:10 AM Mortgage Bond prices edge higher at the open as S&P futures point to a flat open when the bell rings at 9:30 a.m. ET on Wall Street.|
|Thu, Sep 07 8:03 AM The government shutdown has been averted, but North Korean jitters linger while Irma races across the Caribbean leaving a path of destruction in its wake|
Actual payments will vary based on your individual situation and current rates. The above rates are subject to change.
Johnmarbury.com has attempted to verify the information contained on this post. However any aspect of such may change without notice. Johnmarbury.com does not provide investment advice and does not represent that any of the information or related analysis is accurate or complete at any time. Forgive my spelling and grammatical mistakes due to writing skills that are lacking and the need to communicate quickly.